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我国省域经济韧性的变化特征和区域差异研究

馨元 许

摘要


    受疫情以及国际环境影响,我国经济韧性发展充满各种不确定性,因此只有当我们更好地了解各省之间发展差异以及变化特征才能更有效的促进其相互协调均衡发展,从而提高一个经济体的经济韧性。本文主要选取2019-2022年四年31个省份的经济数据进行简要的相关性分析以及熵权TOPSIS法分析,发现我国东、西部与南、北部更省份之间发展存在较大差异,其中,东部经济发展水平要高于西部,南部经济较比北方更加发达,整体呈东南地区经济发达,西北地区相对落后趋势,这将不利于我国经济韧性的稳定性,因此我们可以从识别区域优势、制定战略规划、技术与创新等方面入手,对区域内独特的优势和资源进行全面分析,明确区域发展的具体方向与目标,鼓励研究创新以及采取新兴技术,从而更好地提高各省甚至我国的经济韧性,提升竞争力,以应对未来可能出现的各种不确定性和风险。

    Due to the impact of the pandemic and the international environment, China's economic development is filled with various uncertainties. Therefore, only by gaining a better understanding of the development differences and characteristics among provinces can we effectively promote their mutual coordinated and balanced development, thereby enhancing the economic resilience of the entire economy.This article primarily selects economic data from 31 provinces over the four years from 2019 to 2022 for a brief analysis of correlations and an entropy-weighted Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) analysis. The findings reveal significant disparities in development between the eastern and western, as well as southern and northern provinces. The economic development level in the eastern region is higher than that in the western region, and the southern region is more economically developed compared to the northern region. Overall, there is a trend of developed economic conditions in the southeastern region and relatively backward conditions in the northwest, which may adversely affect the stability of China's economic resilience.To address this, it is suggested to identify regional strengths, formulate strategic plans, and focus on technology and innovation. A comprehensive analysis of unique advantages and resources within each region should be conducted to clarify specific directions and goals for regional development. Encouraging research and innovation, as well as adopting emerging technologies, can better enhance the economic resilience of each province and the entire country, improve competitiveness, and prepare for various uncertainties and risks that may arise in the future.