基于北京市疫情跟踪报送系统与SEIR 模型评估北京疫情防控效果

徐 起, 王 馨荣, 魏 巍
鲸数科技北京有限公司

摘要

2019 年底爆发的新型冠状病毒肺炎（COVID-19）对人民的生产生活造成了重大影响。本文使用鲸数科技（北京）有限公司所开发的北京市疫情跟踪数据报送系统中的全市疫情监测数据，结合SEIR 模型，对未实施社区防控的模拟与加入社区防控的实际效果进行比较。结果显示北京市的防控效果突出，疫情防控系统的启用对疫情的控制产生了积极影响，为北京逐步复工复产提供了重要数据支撑。

关键词

疫情防控系统；疫情监测；SEIR 模型；社区防控

参考

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